*** Paul Piorek is editor and publisher of Paul's Local Weather Journal for southwestern Connecticut ... Paul is the on-air meteorologist at WICC 600 AM and 107.3 FM ... Paul is a New York Emmy award winner (2007), five-time Emmy nominee, and four-time winner of the Connecticut Associated Press Broadcasters' Association award for Best TV Weathercast (2006, 2008, 2009, 2012) ... Paul was voted Best Local Television Personality by the readers of Fairfield County Weekly Magazine (2012) ... Paul was inducted into the Housatonic Community College Hall of Fame and received the Distinguished Alumni Award (2012) ... The local weather journal is a two-time winner of the Communicator Award of Distinction (2012 & 2013) ... Paul is currently a full-time teacher of Earth Science and Mathematics in Fairfield ... Follow Paul on Twitter @PaulPiorekWICC ...

Thursday, March 31, 2011

April Begins on a Stormy Note

It seems only fitting that April will begin on a stormy note. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for Northern Fairfield and New Haven counties from midnight tonight through noon Friday as a coastal storm will bring rain, snow, and wind to the region. Steadier rain will develop tonight, and it will gradually change to snow from North to South. One-to-three inches of snow are possible inland before the storm departs later Friday. It's not an April Fool's Day joke.

I welcome April with some degree of trepidation. Three of the last five years there have been flooding rains across southwestern Connecticut during April. Four years ago, on Sunday, April 15, 2007, over three inches (3.02″) of rain fell in one day at Sikorsky Memorial Airport in Stratford, causing widespread catastrophic flooding throughout the region. Unofficially, well over a half-foot of rain soaked many communities throughout the area. The rain didn’t let up until the following day, bringing the two-day total to 3.51 inches.

The previous year, on Sunday, April 23, 2006, 5.30″ of rain fell at the airport, highlighting a three-day stretch which saw nearly a half-foot (5.79″) of rain. That capped a stretch of nearly eight inches of rain (7.98″) in a 24-day period. The ground was already saturated prior to the deluge, since six of the first eight days of the month saw measured rain, producing nearly two inches (1.93″) in just over one week.

Based on the last 40 years, the average rainfall for April is 3.99 inches, ranking the month third behind March (4.15″) and May (4.03″) as the wettest months of the year. The wettest April on record happened in 1983 when 10.72″ was recorded at Sikorsky Memorial Airport. The driest occurred just two years later when only 0.69″ fell in 1985. The most memorable single-day rain events other than April 23, 2007, happened on April 21 of 2000 (3.34″), April 10, 1983 (3.15″), and April 13, 2004 (3.08″).

April is certainly a month of extremes in southwestern Connecticut as temperatures have ranged from a high of 91 degrees on April 28, 1991, to a low of 18 degrees on April 7, 1982. The warmest April on record averaged 56.7 degrees in 1954, while the coldest happened 45 years ago when the average temperature was 43.4 degrees in 1966. The mean temperature climbs from 45 degrees at the start of the month to 54 degrees by April 30.

Snow is not out of the question for April. In fact, a trace of snow has fallen as late as April 28, while a half-foot fell on April 6, 1982, which was Major League Baseball’s Opening Day and forced the postponement of the Yankees’ home debut in New York. The average snowfall for the month is less than an inch (0.09″). You may remember 15 years ago, though, when seven inches of snow fell April 10, 1996, capping the snowiest Winter on record in southwestern Connecticut when 78″ fell along the coast and over 100″ inland.

The length of daylight continues to grow considerably this month. Sunrise on April 1 happens at 6:35, and it rises before 6 o’clock (5:51) at the end of the month. More dramatic, though, is the time of sundown. The Sun sets at 7:18 on the first day of the month, but it doesn’t drop below the horizon until 7:49 on April 30. Viewer Christine Polishan sent this photo of a Carolina Wren, seen just outside her window three days ago.

Bird

Daylight is increasing at the rate of two to three minutes per day through the end of the month. Daylight grows from 12 hours and 43 minutes at the start of April to almost 14 hours (13:58) by the end of the month. However, there won't be much in the way of sunlight these next two days. Fortunately, a dry weekend is expected, but it will be rather windy with daytime highs in the upper 40s to close to 50 degrees.

Paul

Monday, March 28, 2011

Red Flag Warning Issued for Fire Danger

March is normally the wettest month of the year across southwestern Connecticut. In fact, over four inches (4.15") of precipitation can normally be expected this month on average. Thus far, we've measured nearly three-and-a-half inches (3.45") of liquid through the first four weeks of March. However, 12 of the last 16 days have been dry, and that's one of the reasons why a Red Flag Warning has been posted from 11 a.m. to 7 p.m. today.

A Red Flag Warning alerts area firefighters and land management agencies that conditions are ideal for wildland fire ignition. The warning becomes a critical statement for firefighting agencies, which often alter their staffing and equipment resources dramatically to accommodate the forecast risk. To the public, a Red Flag Warning means high fire danger with increased probability of a quickly spreading vegetation fire in the area within 24 hours.

In addition to the dry ground, a North wind will continue to gust over 20 to 25 miles an hour through this afternoon, along with extremely low humidity levels. Dew points are only in the single digits, while the relative humidity is holding close to 40 percent. These ingredients could result in the rapid spread of a brush fire if one were to start. Also, air temperatures will continue to run about 10 degrees below normal.

You can do your part to help prevent fires during extremely dry conditions. Obviously, always put out cigarettes properly and don't jusy discard them on the ground. That's the easiest way for a fire to start. Keep firewood away from your home, clean up weeds and grass clippings, and pick up any extra trash and debris which may be in your yard. Remember, it only takes a carelessly disposed cigarette to ignite a wild fire, and it could spread rapidly with the dry and windy conditions.

Today will be mostly sunny, breezy, and chilly with a high in the low-to-mid 40s. Tonight will be mostly clear and cold with lows in the 20s. Tomorrow will feature a mix of sun and clouds with a high in the mid 40s. The next storm arrives Friday with wet snow changing to rain with daytime highs in the lower 40s. Clearing skies are expected for the weekend with the mercury touching 50 degrees by then.

Paul

Friday, March 25, 2011

Raking the Lawn a Rite of Spring

Quiet but chilly weather is expected this weekend, so it's time to get down to business by raking my lawn. Normally, I reserve the first weekend of April to complete the annual task, but I have decided to get a head start since this coming weekend will be dry. Quite frankly, I won't mind it at all since my lawn needs it, and it will provide great exercise for me!

Naturally, it takes some preparation. Tomorrow morning I'll go to the hardware store and purchase my supplies. They include durable gloves, lawn bags, a sturdy rake, and batteries. I need the batteries for my transistor radio, which keeps me company outside. Then, I'll survey my lawn by looking for any matted patches in which the grass blades are stuck together. This can be caused by a disease known as ’snow mold.’ New grass may have difficulty penetrating these matted patches. But a light raking will be sufficient to solve this problem.

A good raking cleans up dead grass which would otherwise clog up the soil surface. The ‘natural compost’ value is not all that great, and raking does free the grass plant crowns which keeps them healthier and allows sunlight in which prompts grass to grow earlier. Raking in Spring is more beneficial than Fall, as the organic matter can help protect crowns during Winter. It should certainly be done before you apply any pre-emergent crab grass control.

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Fortunately, lawn raking is also a great form of aerobic exercise. Not only does raking involve upper body activity, it also helps to strengthen the back and core muscles and requires moderate walking. According to several Web sites, raking the lawn burns about 280 calories per hour for a 150-pound person. Since I'll spend about five hours raking this weekend, I figure that I will burn about 1,400 calories just by raking the lawn.

According to beginner.gardening.com, “Don’t forget to keep your lawn well watered if Mother Nature doesn’t provide this for you. Even as snow melts, it normally runs off due to still frozen subsoil. If you don’t receive timely Spring rains, watering will certainly help.” This weekend, though, will be dry. Saturday will be mostly sunny and quite chilly with a high in the upper 30s, while a storm system to our South will provide for more clouds by Sunday with a high near 40 degrees.

Have a good weekend.

Paul

Friday, March 18, 2011

Full Worm Moon is a "Super" Moon

This month's Full Moon will be the first "Super" Moon in 18 years. The March Full Worm Moon rises Saturday at 2:10 p.m. EDT, and we should be able to view its rare size and beauty beautifully tomorrow evening. It's called a "Super" Moon because it will arrive at its closest point to the Earth this year at 3 o'clock tomorrow afternoon. The Moon will be just 221,565 miles away from the Earth.

When the perigee Moon lies close to the horizon, it can appear absolutely enormous. That is when the famous “Moon illusion” combines with reality to produce a truly stunning view. For reasons not fully understood by astronomers or psychologists, a low-hanging Moon looks incredibly large when hovering near trees, buildings and other foreground objects. The fact that the Moon will be much closer than usual this weekend will only serve to amplify this strange effect.

That means that at its peak, tomorrow's "Super" Moon may appear 14 percent larger and 30 percent brighter than most other Full Moons or when the Moon is at its farthest distance from Earth. Yet to the casual observer, it may be hard to tell the difference. Although a Full Moon theoretically lasts just a moment, that moment is imperceptible to ordinary observation.

Moon

Why is this month's Full Moon called the Worm Moon? Well, as the temperature begins to warm and the ground begins to thaw, earthworm casts appear, signaling the return of the robins. The more northern tribes knew this Moon as the Full Crow Moon, when the cawing of crows signaled the end of winter, or the Full Crust Moon, because the snow cover becomes crusted from thawing by day and freezing at night. The Full Sap Moon, marking the time of tapping maple trees, is another variation.

This time of the year, the sunlight is getting stronger, temperatures are slowly rising, and the frozen ground begins to thaw. You can tell the worms have begun to come awake when you find the little curly mounds of dirt on the ground. These mounds, or castings are part of nature's way of preparing the Earth for new growth. Then the flowers and herbs and trees and green grass suddenly burst out and let us know Spring is here.

Full Moon names date back to Native Americans, in what is now the Northern and Eastern United States. The tribes kept track of the seasons by giving distinctive names to each recurring Full Moon. Their names were applied to the entire month in which each occurred. There was some variation in the Moon names, but in general, the same ones were current throughout the Algonquin tribes from New England to Lake Superior.

By the way, did you know that if the Full Moon happened just two days later, Easter would be a week from Sunday? That's because Easter falls on the first Sunday after the first Full Moon following the Vernal Equinox. The Vernal Equinox is this Sunday evening, March 20, at 7:21 EDT. Enjoy the Full Worm Moon and the "Super" Moon. Have a great weekend.

Paul

Spring Officially Arrives This Sunday

Tomorrow is the last full day of Winter. Spring officially arrives this Sunday at 7:21 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time. That's the time when the direct rays of the Sun pass over the Equator, technically creating "equal day and equal night" over the face of the Earth. Actually, yesterday, March 17, we experienced exactly 12 hours of daylight and 12 hours of darkness. The days will only get longer for the next three months. I don't know about you, but after this Winter, I'm counting the minutes until the Vernal Equinox.

I've always observed the change of seasons with more reverence and awe than New Year's Eve. After all, the beginning of a new year is an arbitrary date which can actually be recognized just about any time during the year. However, an equinox or a solstice is a much more meaningful "event" and can be explained astronomically. The time is exact and changes every year although, for the most part, the date doesn't vary much.

Spring

The change of seasons is due to the 23.4 degree tilt of the Earth's axis. Because of the tilt, we receive the Sun's rays most directly in the Summer. In the Winter, when we are tilted away from the Sun, the rays pass through the atmosphere at a greater slant, bringing lower temperatures. If the Earth rotated on an axis perpendicular to the plane of the Earth's orbit around the Sun, there would be no variation in day lengths or temperatures throughout the year, and we would not have seasons.

Now that Winter is just about in our rear-view mirror, how did we fare over the last three months as far as snow is concerned? Officially, just about five feet of snow (59.4") fell at Sikorsky Memorial Airport in Stratford. That's more than three feet above the normal (22.9") through this date and well above last year's total of 38.1" of snow. Most of the snow fell from late December through January. Snowfall was well below the record of 78 inches, which was set in the Winter of 1995-96.

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Our Springlike weather will continue for at least one more day. Today will feature a mix of sun and clouds with high temperatures reaching the upper 60s inland and close to 60 degrees along the immediate shoreline. It will be quite windy, though. The record high temperature for this date is 68 degrees, established in 1999. A cold front will pass late tonight and early tomorrow with a threat of a brief shower or sprinkle. Tomorrow will become mostly sunny and much cooler with highs close to 50.

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Happy Spring!

Paul

Thursday, March 17, 2011

Fourth Anniversary of St. Patrick's Day Snow and Ice Storm

Happy St. Patrick's Day!

St_patricks_day_pinIt looks like the luck of the Irish will shine brightly across southwestern Connecticut today. We'll enjoy mostly sunny skies with high temperatures climbing into the 50s along the shoreline and close to 60 degrees inland. Tomorrow will be even milder as the mercury soars into the 60s. However, four years ago today, Old Man Winter was still going strong, delivering an unforgettable snow and ice storm.

I experienced one of the most difficult drives to work in my many years of providing morning weather to our viewers, Saturday, March 17, 2007. My car was a block of ice. My kitchen door froze after I shut it, locking me out of my own house while I attempted to get into the car. The battle with the car door to get it open took me about 10 minutes. And, I had to wake my son out of a sound sleep to accompany me on my harrowing drive to work.

The drive was, without question, extremely difficult. The roads were covered with ice and snow, and snow plows created some embankments at intersections, making it difficult to drive through the mounds of snow and ice. I got stuck twice in "cakes" of snow and ice. Our morning news anchor told me he "did a 360" on the turnpike, and he was obviously unnerved before we went on the air.

According to Lieutenant Paul Vance of the Connecticut State Police who appeared on our morning newscast that day, "Troopers have responded to over 477 accidents. We've been non-stop, busy, constantly during this whole storm. There are really treacherous conditions out there," emphasized Vance. "Many motorists have been stuck."

Road

The storm began on Friday, March 16, 2007, with a moderate snow blanketing the region. The numbers were very impressive for mid March. Easton (6.5 inches), Fairfield (6.4"), New Canaan (6.0"), and Darien (6.0") each received at least a half-foot of snow unofficially. Even Bridgeport (5.0") had substantial snow. The average monthly snow for March is 4.3 inches based on 40 years of climatology. One of our viewers sent this photo from Norwalk.

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"It was a tough storm," admitted John Kerry of the Department of Transportation storm center. "We're telling people that if they can hold off on their travel they will probably be in a lot better shape. We are seeing spin outs because the roads are slippery." One snow plow driver was asked by News 12 Connecticut's Kristi Olds if this was the worst storm of the Winter. "This one was," he answered immediately. "This one was by far the toughest. All the snow, the ice, and wind. It was tough!"

Nora Massella of Milford, who is a devoted viewer to our morning newscasts, sent this photo of her home and neighborhood. Nora wrote, "Paul, my husband, Mike, tried to get out and it was impossible. When he put down onto the snow, it was thick, thick ice. In order to get rid of this ice, you have to chop it and crack it in order to get rid of it. Our cars are frozen closed."

Nora

Thankfully, Mother Nature is giving us a preview of Springtime weather three days early! Today will be a great day to spend time outside and soak up the sun. March is one of the most unpredictable months for weather in southwestern Connecticut. Fortunately, we won't have to worry about any major storms over the next few days.

Paul

Tuesday, March 15, 2011

Celebrate National Wildlife Week

NWF_WWeek_art%20_FIN_219x229This is National Wildlife Week. According to the National Wildlife Federation, the annual week-long observance has been essential to wildlife conservation, bringing awareness about the issue to people of all ages since 1938. Observing National Wildlife Week is a time to honor wildlife, bring communities together through service, ignite the minds of children and adults, and instill an absolute love of nature.

Children are especially encouraged to celebrate National Wildlife Week by doing what comes naturally. Whatever you do --- at home, school, or play --- do it outdoors and have fun! Climb trees, chase butterflies, dig in the dirt, and celebrate nature. You’ll become healthier, happier, and more connected to the world around you.

Research shows that a daily "Green Hour" improves one's physical, mental and emotional well-being. This is especially important for children who typically spend hours in front of electronic gadgets. Additionally, families and communities connected to nature raise healthier kids and inspire a life-long appreciation of wildlife and the environment.

The federation's Web site includes ideas and activities for young children, teens, parents, and educators. One of the easiest and most enjoyable ways to celebrate this week is to go "wildlife watching." It's a great time to head outside and see what's going on in the natural world as Spring arrives. Carefully and quietly observe your surroundings.

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Parents are urged to make time in their children's lives for unstructured play and interaction with the natural world. Children can celebrate the wonderful wildlife that lives around them and explore outside. Teens can make a difference in the community for wildlife and the environment. Educators can find fun ways to get their students excited about studying nature and wildlife, and spending more time outdoors.

Start a new family tradition this year with National Wildlife Week. With the exception of rain tomorrow, the remainder of the week looks good. Today will be mostly sunny and pleasant with a high in the mid-to-upper 40s. A half-inch to an inch of rain is possible tomorrow before much milder air arrives by the end of the week. For more information, visit the National Wildlife Federation Web site.

Paul

Monday, March 14, 2011

Flood Safety Awareness Week

Despite a dry weekend, a Flood Warning remains in effect for the Housatonic River at the Stevenson Dam through this afternoon. The stage was 11.2 feet as of late last night, slightly above the 11-foot flood stage. The river is forecast to continue to fall to below flood stage as of this morning. More rain is expected by this Wednesday, though it shouldn't aggravate any current flooding problems. The remainder of the week and this weekend should be dry and milder.

The National Weather Service has designated this week as its annual Flood Safety Awareness Week. It floods someplace in the United States or its territories nearly every day of the year. In the past 30 years, floods have killed an average of 95 people a year and have caused an average of $7.5 billion dollars in damages annually.

Flood1

Generally, March and April are the two months each year we experience severe flooding. The goals of Flood Safety Awareness Week are to heighten public awareness of the risks associated with floods and flash floods, inform the public about forecast and warning services, provide flood safety information, and empower citizens to take actions necessary to protect their lives and property.

Americans depend on river and flood forecasts issued by the NWS throughout the year. Each geographic region of the United States has one or more times of the year when flooding is an increased concern. In the late Fall and Winter, powerful Pacific storms can strike the West Coast, causing extensive flooding. From late Winter into Spring, people living across the northern third of the nation closely monitor the forecasts when snow and ice can melt quickly, resulting in river flooding.

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In the Spring and Summer, the threat of a flash flood from a thunderstorm is always a possibility almost anywhere in the country. Each Summer and Fall, millions of people living near the Gulf and East coasts listen keenly to tropical weather reports to determine if their area will be impacted by a flood from a tropical storm or hurricane.

Gary Carter, Director of the NWS Office of Hydrologic Development, said, “Water resource issues, including floods, profoundly affect our nation’s economy, policies and regulatory frameworks. To address the growing water challenges and guide critical decisions, NOAA is leading an interagency consortium called Integrated Water Resources Science and Services (IWRSS), which consists initially of NOAA, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, and the U.S. Geological Survey."

This consortium will unify and leverage each agency’s water science, observation, and prediction capabilities to improve water resources forecasts, foster better communications, and provide the common operating picture required to mitigate the death and destruction caused by major floods, according to Carter.

The Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) is the National Weather Service's frontline solution for providing improved river and flood forecasting and water information across America. AHPS provides a suite of graphical and numeric products over the Internet to assist the public, community leaders, and emergency managers in making better life and cost saving decisions about evacuations and movement of property before flooding occurs.

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Most flood-related deaths occur in motor vehicles when people attempt to drive through flooded roadways. Don’t underestimate the power of flowing water across a road. The National Weather Service developed the flood safety slogan: "Turn Around, Don’t Drown," and hopes people will remember these words when faced with a flooded roadway. Be especially cautious when driving at night when it is harder to recognize flood dangers.

Paul

Friday, March 11, 2011

Sunday Marks Anniversary of Three Memorable Weather Events

Now that the rain is moving away and we can enjoy a relatively quiet weekend, you may recall that this Sunday marks the anniversary of three unforgettable weather events which happened in southwestern Connecticut over the last 21 years. What makes the events even more significant is that they illustrate just how unpredictable March weather can be in New England.

As hard as it may seem to believe, the temperature climbed to an incredible 84 degrees at Sikorsky Memorial Airport on March 13, 1990. That established a record high for the date, month, and the Winter season. The normal high temperature for this date is only 45 degrees, and the normal low is a chilly 31. Although it feels rather balmy today with the mercury climbing into the 50s, it's still 30 degrees cooler than that very warm day 21 years ago.

During March, a battle rages between the Spring and Winter seasons, and that makes predicting the temperatures during this month as difficult as any time during the year. The amount of daylight continues to grow longer each day, and the Vernal Equinox, the first day of Spring, is still a more than a week away. But, Old Man Winter has no intentions of packing his bags just yet.

I distinctly remember watching the temperature climb that day due to a strong Westerly wind. The wind direction was extremely important, since the flow didn't come from the cooler waters on Long Island Sound. I was the evening weather anchor at News 12 Connecticut 21 years ago, and our "weather video" showed people flocking to a local beach to soak up the sun and warm temperatures. I'll never forget that day.

Then, just three years later, Saturday, March 13, 1993, the famed Storm of the Century pounded the Eastern seaboard from Florida to Maine. Locally, over a foot of snow fell across southwestern Connecticut, winds gusted over 40 miles an hour, and wind chills hovered at or close to zero throughout the day. It was the second snowiest day on record for March, and it will always be remembered because it affected such a large area.

Very heavy snow accumulated in the south. Birmingham, Alabama, picked up a foot of snow. Snow covered the ground from Mississippi to the Florida Panhandle. The heavy snow spread northward along the East Coast to Maine. On Saturday, March 13, every airport in the Eastern states was closed. Snowfall ranged up to four feet on Mount Mitchell, North Carolina. Atlanta, Georgia, picked up three inches. Chattanooga, Tennessee, received up 21 inches. During the peak of the storm, about 30 percent of the entire country was hit by the rough weather.

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Very warm, humid air moved across central Florida and, combined with the energy of the storm, helped spawn the 27 tornadoes. Winds were clocked at 99 mph on an oil platform off the Louisiana coast. Overall the storm took 285 lives, mostly because of tornadoes. The storm became the costliest nontropical storm in Florida's history. States of emergency were declared throughout the eastern portion of the country. The adjacent map shows the total snowfall for the storm.

I was called in for storm coverage that Saturday morning, and we remained on the air for more than 12 hours. Aside from the heavy snow, what I remember most from that day was the rapidly falling barometer. The pressure dropped to 28.35 inches in parts of New England, which is usually only observed in hurricanes. They peak at almost the exact opposite time of the year. By comparison, this morning's barometer read 30.18 inches, and the normal average barometer reading for southwestern Connecticut is 30.02 inches.

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The storm was deepening and intensifying as it moved toward New England, and the howling winds didn't let up. In the wake of the storm, back-to-back record low temperatures of 16 and 12 degrees were established on March 14 and 15, respectively, at Sikorsky Airport.

Then, last year, a powerful Nor'easter hammered Connecticut and, specifically, Fairfield County. The damaging wind gusts of 60 to 65 miles an hour, flooding rains, massive power outages, impassable roads, and week-long school closings won't soon be forgotten. We received incredible videos and photos of the widespread destruction across southwestern Connecticut. The following photos were sent by News 12 Connecticut viewers.

Storm1

Former Governor M. Jodi Rell announced that the storm caused more than $7 million in damage statewide, and she requested a visit from Federal Emergency Management Agency officials to assess the damage. The Connecticut Department of Emergency Management and Homeland Security estimated $2.8 million worth of damage in Fairfield County alone. Fairfield County qualified for federal disaster assistance.

Storm2

Preliminary damage estimates in Norwalk totaled more than $335,000, and damage to private homes was even greater. Damage to public buildings and parks, and the cost of funding police, fire, and city employee overtime reached about $335,065, according to the city's director of finance. The scoreboard at Brien McMahon High School was the single most expensive piece of property destroyed in the storm. It was estimated at $18,000.

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Stamford officials estimate private property damage at $3.58 million. Damage to public property was estimated at $262,000, and total overtime for city crews at $143,086. Tens of thousands of people lost power, and three school systems were closed for a week. Heavy rain delivered up to one-half inch per hour during the afternoon of March 13. Here is a sampling of area rainfall totals for that day:

  • New Canaan: 4.34"
  • Easton: 4.33"
  • Wilton: 4.01"
  • Stratford: 3.33"
  • Woodbridge: 3.12"
  • Westport: 2.97"
  • Milford: 2.91"

Storm4

Fortunately, the weather should be quiet this weekend. Sunday, March 13, will be fair and seasonable with daytime high temperatures in the upper 40s. The weather will remain dry through most, if not all, of the upcoming week with daytime highs in the 40s to close to 50 degrees, and nighttime lows in the low-to-mid 30s. I can't take another storm!

Paul

Wednesday, March 9, 2011

March Monsoons to Continue

A Flood Watch has been issued for all of southwestern Connecticut from tomorrow morning through Friday morning. Two-to-four inches of rain are possible by midday Friday. The heaviest rain will fall late tomorrow through tomorrow night, only aggravating the flooding problems we experienced earlier this week. Unfortunately, there hasn't been enough time for the rivers to recede, which will only make matters worse. Today will be the last dry day before light rain arrives late tonight.

To put things in perspective, a Flood Warning is still in effect for the Housatonic River at the Stevenson Dam. As of last night, the stage was 14.6 feet, more than three feet above the 11-foot flood stage. The river crested at 21.68 feet earlier this week, the fifth-highest crest for the Housatonic in recorded history. The crest was significant because the extremely high water table ultimately produces widespread flooding South to Bridgeport.

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Thus far this month, the official rain total at Sikorsky Memorial Airport is 1.51 inches. However, some communities in Northern Fairfield Country reported well over four inches of rain Sunday night into Monday. Last month, well over four inches (4.36") of precipitation fell, nearly an inch-and-a-half above the normal amount for January. You'll recall the wettest March on record was established one year ago when a series of Nor'easters delivered nearly a foot of rain (10.13") for the month.

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Viewer Ralph Fato sent several photos to me following Monday's rainstorm. He wrote, "I wish I can do this for a living. I’m grateful being able to share my experience with people thanks to social media. (I've) been doing this since I was 10. We got lucky that some of our three-foot snowpack melted before these rainstorms moved in. Luckily, no water in my basement either. This seemed to be more focused on the rivers overflowing from the deep snow pack up North, then localized flooding."

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We'll have just one more day to dry out before light rain develops later tonight. The steadiest and heaviest rain will arrive later tomorrow afternoon through early Friday. At this point, it looks like two-inches-plus will fall across the region, with three-to-four inches likely over Eastern New York and lighter amounts across Eastern Connecticut and Long Island. The rain will taper to showers by midday Friday with daytime high temperatures in the 40s to close to 50 degrees.

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Here is the projected rainfall total for the Northeast through Friday. Notice the color-coded legend. The light blue shading indicates two-inches-plus of rain, while the darker blue, just to our West, illustrates three-inches-plus. The darker green over southeastern Connecticut shows where one-plus inches of rain can be expected. It's not a good situation, and serious flooding problems can be expected once again.

Rain

Paul

Monday, March 7, 2011

Garden Hose Solves Basement Flooding Problems

Nearly a month's worth of rain fell in the last 24 hours. The heavy rain, melting snow, and mild temperatures caused flooding problems throughout southwestern Connecticut. Most rivers are at or above flood stage, and many low-lying areas are under water this morning. A Flood Warning remains in effect until 1:45 this afternoon for Fairfield and New Haven counties. Generally, two-to-three inches of rain fell across the region, resulting in flooding of a small waterfall in Weston.

My basement is usually a disaster area after heavy rain. My home is located across the street from a lake, and I live in a low-lying area. Further, a brook runs under my home, and that causes the basement to flood when the water table rises. One year ago, during the wettest March on record, I thought my basement wouldn't survive the extreme flooding. My two sump pumps were working overtime, and water was entering the cellar through the floor and walls. It was a losing battle.

However, Kevin, a friend of mine who kept a close eye on the basement while I was at work, decided to investigate while sweeping the water into the sump pumps. Eventually, he found a well-hidden small crack in the floor through which a steady stream of water was flowing into the basement. A couple of days later, after the basement dried out, he decided to take action and attempt to solve the problem. He brought a drill, cement, and a garden hose.

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Kevin drilled a hole around the crack in the floor just large enough to insert one end of a garden hose. Next, he mixed cement and filled in the gaps around the nozzle of the hose to secure it in place. Finally, he placed the other end of the hose into one of the two sump pumps. Believe it or not, I haven't had a flooding problem since he placed the hose into the crack. The real test, however, happened last night when heavy rain caused serious problems in flood-prone areas.

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Naturally, I had a tough time sleeping last night. The rain was pelting against the house, and I was worried about the basement. When I woke up early this morning, there wasn't a flood! There was a small puddle of water at the base of the stairs, but that was it. I couldn't believe it. The garden hose was working. The water was trickling into the sump pump. Naturally, I'm concerned about the pumps, though, since they will be working overtime the next couple of days. I took these photos this morning.

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I'm hoping everything will be okay when I return home from work later this afternoon. Obviously, the sump pumps need power to keep working, and they won't be getting much of a break after last night's monsoon. I am going to call Kevin this afternoon and let him know that his solution is working beautifully. Now, I'm turning my attention to the next storm which will arrive Wednesday night into early Friday with more rain. I don't know how much more the ground can take. Let's keep our fingers crossed.

Paul

Wednesday, March 2, 2011

March Roared Like a Lion Two Years Ago Today

March came roaring in like a lion two years ago today, delivering more than a half-foot of snow across southwestern Connecticut, Monday, March 2, 2009. Adding insult to injury, roads, walkways, and driveways remained extremely icy as temperatures struggled to reach the mid 20s with wind gusts over 20 miles an hour through the next day. It certainly didn't look or feel like Spring was less than three weeks away.

Officially, 7.6 inches of snow fell at Sikorsky Memorial Airport in Stratford two years ago, a record snowfall for the date. Add the 2.1 inches of snow which fell the night before, and that pushed the March snowfall total to 9.7 inches, well above the 4.3-inch normal for the entire month. New Canaan (9.5") and Darien (8.5") also received a healthy blanket of new snow. Take a look at a few of the photos I received from our loyal viewers following the March 2, 2009 snowstorm.

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That brought the 2008-09 Winter snow total to 43.1 inches, more than double the 20.4 inch normal through the date. The previous year, just over 20 inches of snow were recorded through the same period. By comparison, this Winter, nearly five feet (59.1") of snow has been measured, while we saw 38 inches through this date last year.

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March weather can be especially brutal across southwestern Connecticut. The March 2, 2009 snow ranks fourth on the list of all-time snowiest March days on record at the airport. The Blizzard of 1888 notwithstanding, nearly a foot of snow (11.1") fell on March 22, 1967, and 10.6" of snow blanketed the region during the infamous Storm of the Century on Saturday, March 13, 1993. The third snowiest March day on record happened on March 22, 1956, when 9.8 inches fell.

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Perhaps the most memorable March snow event happened on Easter Sunday, March 29, 1970. Over a half-foot of snow fell in the Greater Bridgeport area and, to make matters worse, the mercury plummeted to 16 degrees the following morning at Sikorsky Memorial Airport in Stratford and 14 degrees in Norwalk. Fortunately, our weather doesn't include snow and ice over the next seven days. However, it will turn windy and quite cold tonight in the wake of a cold front which will cross the area later this afternoon.

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Much colder air is expected tomorrow with a daytime high in the mid-to-upper 20s under mostly sunny skies and a gusty breeze out of the Northwest. Cloudy and dry weather is expected Friday and Saturday before more rain arrives Sunday into Monday. Afternoon high temperatures will climb close to 50 degrees Saturday and Sunday and hold close to 40 by Monday.

Paul

Tuesday, March 1, 2011

Cold & Wet February in the Books

Welcome to March. The new month will start on a sunny and blustery note with high temperatures in the mid-to-upper 30s by this afternoon. A gusty North wind will subside by late-morning, and a fairly quiet stretch of weather can be expected through the end of the week. The official weather statistics for February have been tabulated, and the month was slightly colder and much wetter than normal.

The average temperature last month was 31.1 degrees, which was nearly one degree below the normal of 31.9 degrees. The warmest temperature was 57 degrees on February 18, while the coldest reading was 11 degrees on the morning of February 4. There were two five-day periods --- February 8 through February 12 and February 20 through February 24 --- during which the average daily temperature was below normal. Overall, 16 of the 28 days last month featured colder than normal temperatures.

Twenty-two days last month featured morning low temperatures below freezing, while just three days delivered daytime high temperatures of 32 degrees or below. There were five days with readings of 50 degrees or warmer, including three consecutive days from February 17 through February 19. Two days --- February 14 and February 28 --- saw the mercury climb to 55 degrees.

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Nearly four-and-a-half inches of liquid precipitation fell at Sikorsky Memorial Airport in Stratford last month. That was nearly an inch-and-a-half above the normal of 2.92. Nearly five inches (4.7") of snow fell in February, two-and-a-half inches below the 7.2-inch normal for the month. There were 11 days with liquid precipitation, but only three days with measured snow. The greatest 24-hour precipitation was 1.54" during February 24 and 25.

Fortunately, we'll enjoy a few quiet days through the end of the week. A cold front will approach late tomorrow, but not before temperatures rebound well into the 40s Wednesday afternoon. Thursday will be mostly sunny and colder with a high near 30. Friday will bring increasing cloudiness with highs in the 30s. The weekend will be cloudy and milder with scattered showers likely and highs in the mid 40s to close to 50 degrees.

Paul

Five years of archived posts from March 2006 through February 2011 can be viewed by clicking here.